Essex, Vermont 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Essex VT
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Essex VT
Issued by: National Weather Service Burlington, VT |
Updated: 7:59 pm EDT Aug 22, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Mostly Clear
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny
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Saturday Night
 Chance Showers
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Sunday
 Chance Showers
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Sunday Night
 Showers Likely
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Monday
 Showers Likely
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Monday Night
 Chance Showers then Partly Cloudy
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Tuesday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers
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Tuesday Night
 Chance Showers then Partly Cloudy
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Lo 54 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
Lo 60 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 51 °F |
Hi 70 °F |
Lo 48 °F |
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Tonight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. |
Saturday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Sunday
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A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. |
Sunday Night
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Showers likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Monday
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Showers likely, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Monday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Light west wind. |
Tuesday
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A 30 percent chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 5 to 8 mph. |
Tuesday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 5 to 7 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 48. South wind 3 to 5 mph. |
Thursday
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A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph. |
Thursday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. South wind 3 to 5 mph. |
Friday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Essex VT.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
044
FXUS61 KBTV 222321
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
721 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather will persist through tomorrow, and the brief warming
trend will continue. A slow moving frontal boundary will move
through on Sunday and Monday, bringing continued chances for
showers. Cooler and drier air returns for midweek, though a few
showers will remain possible as weak disturbances periodically pass
nearby.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 235 PM EDT Friday...The region remains under an area of high
pressure, sandwiched between Erin to the east and an incoming trough
to the west. The center of this high will quickly shift off to the
east tonight and this will cause southerly flow to develop.
Temperatures will drop off quickly this evening, but as winds begin
to increase later in the night, they will likely bottom off or begin
to rise, particularly in the Champlain Valley and Route 11 corridor
in New York. These winds should minimize fog tonight, though it
cannot be completely ruled out in the most favored valleys of
eastern Vermont where the southerly flow reaches last. This
southerly flow will continue to increase in magnitude during the day
tomorrow, and gusts should reach the 10-20 mph range for most areas.
Channeled flow in the Champlain Valley and downsloping in the far
northern Adirondacks will cause some locally higher gusts.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 235 PM EDT Friday...A deep trough slowly builds into the region
from Saturday night through Sunday night, pushing through a series
of boundaries. These boundaries will be accompanied by a few broken
lines of showers. There is a low chance of thunder as the
instability will be quite low and there will not be a well defined
front with significant forcing. The showers will likely be limited
to northern New York Saturday night, while they gradually expand
into Vermont during the day on Sunday. A more organized line of
showers looks to form Sunday night as convergence increases due to a
developing surface low to the east. A tightening pressure gradient
increases the southerly flow Saturday night into Sunday. Channeled
flow in the Champlain Valley and downsloping in the far northern
Adirondacks could cause localized gusts into the 30-35 mph range.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 158 PM EDT Friday...Progression of the passing wave
continues to become slower with guidance favoring some lingering
lift associated with the north-south oriented front Monday.
Highest chances of showers with isolated thunderstorms remains
along eastern Vermont, but a rare thunderstorm could be possible
off of moisture flow off of Lake Ontario under cyclonic flow
aloft. Elsewhere, isolated showers are possible do to lingering
upper low keeping lapse rates steep enough to allow for
convection as instability maximizes with daytime heating.
Shower chances could linger through mid week, but forcing likely
to decrease Tuesday and Wednesday. Cloud cover and projected
northwesterly flow support temperatures decreasing from the
mid/upper 70s on Monday into the low/mid 70s through the work
week. Pattern is expected to shift late week with brief ridging
possibly disrupting the ensconced long wave trough. Looking
farther, this long-wave trough pattern could persist with
periodic systems rolling down a large omega high situated over
the Canadian Rockies.
&&
.AVIATION /23Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 00Z Sunday...Mainly VFR to prevail through the period.
Only exception will be KMPV, where another round of dense fog is
expected. There could also be some brief fog at KSLK and perhaps
KEFK, but certainty was too low include in the TAFs at this
time. LIFR/VLIFR likely in fog between 10z-12z Sat. Otherwise,
FEW-SCT mid clouds overnight will lower and become broken
Saturday afternoon, though ceilings remain AOA 5000 ft. Light
and variable winds will turn to the south/southwest Saturday
morning, increasing to 5-10 kt. Gusts to around 20 kt are
expected from 16z onward.
Outlook...
Saturday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight
chance TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Myskowski
NEAR TERM...Myskowski
SHORT TERM...Myskowski
LONG TERM...Boyd
AVIATION...Hastings
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